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Tytuł:
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The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable |
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Autor:
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Nassim Nicholas Taleb |
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ISBN-10(13):
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0141034599 |
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Wydawnictwo:
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Penguin |
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Rok wydania:
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2008 |
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Wydanie:
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Język:
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English |
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Ocena:
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Okładka:
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Opis:
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What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the Internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? What can Catherine the Great's lovers tell us about probability? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they?re impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. A rallying cry to ignore the 'experts', The Black Swan shows us how to stop trying to predict everything ? and take advantage of uncertainty. |
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Psychologia Biznesu 
